JimmyMcGill 3d ago • 87%
I mean that would be at least partially more true if it were a sequence of bets and results but in this case it’s a single bet which will take forever to resolve so all of that analysis is useless. I’m sorry it just is.
What betting markets give is a sentiment of who people (who bet) think will win, which is something, but it’s different from predicting who will actually win. Humans are crap at predicting shit, especially humans that bet and especially humans that bet in political outcomes.
A huge portion of bets are very biased because of political “teams” and beliefs. If people suck at betting in sports events I would argue they suck even more at betting at political events where their identify and beliefs and even more at play.
Polling already gives you flawed data, betting markets even more so.
JimmyMcGill 6d ago • 100%
Thanks
I only saw season 1 a few months ago so I was able to binge it
Looking forward to the weekly discussion threads here on Lemmy with you folks
JimmyMcGill 6d ago • 100%
Honestly not even going to watch the trailer because I’ll watch S2 when it comes out
Does anyone know if it will be weekly releases or full dump?
JimmyMcGill 6d ago • 100%
If Trump wins my faith in humanity is fully gone
Might as well accelerate climate change before we fuck Earth any further. We don’t deserve this planet.
JimmyMcGill 1w ago • 100%
My man ATTICUS!
Let’s go for 100
JimmyMcGill 1w ago • 100%
Because our collective we is composed of many different people. You have brilliant scientific minds and genius artistic people and everyone in between. At the same time you have very empathetic people and others who would not hesitate to hurt someone for their gain.
Diversity is both a blessing and a curse.
JimmyMcGill 2w ago • 95%
As other folk said, definitely do get the DLCs. There’s a whole other game in there.
It’s been a while since I last played, and this game IS a masterpiece, no doubt about that, but the one of the first sections can be rough. Iirc it’s gloomy af, there’s some hard monsters in some quests that can be demotivating and the combat/mechanics takes some getting used to which makes the previous point worse. Just know that the game opens up and there’s a whole world out there.
There are tons of side quests which are great, so you should do those but also don’t feel like you need to do all of them. It can be easy to get side tracked and then lose steam and quit on the main story.
Especially because like I said the DLCs are amazing. They are also quite self contained so it’s like a breath of fresh air
Enjoy this amazing game. I’m jealous of you
JimmyMcGill 2w ago • 81%
I mean do you really have to suggest him that? He’s gonna get hooked like we all did
In any case W3 gwent is actually kinda crap in terms of balance but that just means you can own them super hard at some point
JimmyMcGill 2w ago • 100%
Same
I was never really on Twitter (had an account that I never used). Tried mastodon recently to fill in some gaps from lemmy but there’s really no good way that I found, to follow interesting/active/popular people
If anyone knows what I did wrong I’d gladly take the suggestion (tbf I didn’t really bother to search but if you reply to me other people will also read it)
JimmyMcGill 2w ago • 100%
There’s still massive amounts of air pressure changes Those can definitely lift some smaller rocks
JimmyMcGill 3w ago • 100%
In 2020 Trump got 47% of the votes. Biden 51%. That’s the almost half that I’m talking about
JimmyMcGill 3w ago • 66%
That doesn’t change anything I said. A significant portion of your population votes for them. Almost half of the voting population votes for them. You can’t ignore these facts.
JimmyMcGill 3w ago • 100%
The electoral college favors Republicans but the narrative that “no one really votes for Republicans” is fucking bullshit
Yes, they tend to lose the popular vote but even then % wise, it’s way closer than it should be.
The way you phrase it, makes it seem like they are a fringe group that through cheating manages to win even if they only have half as many votes as the Democrats.
They are popular even with, or perhaps actually because of, all of the racism, sexism and fascist tendencies. Do not downplay that.
JimmyMcGill 3w ago • 100%
Keep up the good work
You will be one of the Lemmy legends in the future
JimmyMcGill 3w ago • 100%
DotA and Dota 2
Also dune 2?
JimmyMcGill 3w ago • 100%
Isn’t it free up to a certain amount?
Also aren’t you able to create steam keys for free and resell them wherever you want and they won’t take a cut off those?
JimmyMcGill 4w ago • 100%
Still, not as many people listen to older bands even if they are fans and especially for older bands people tend to listen more in other mediums
Take any videoclip from YouTube for example of any of the greatest song that is a 3, 4, 5 decades old and it will have far less views than a mild reggaeton hit from last summer, even if the old song has had far longer to accumulate views
JimmyMcGill 4w ago • 73%
I mean, using these spotify metrics in comparison with all time greats is kinda flawed.
For example my band sold just as many tickets as Michael Jackson and the Beatles COMBINED in 2024.
I am not in a band.
JimmyMcGill 4w ago • 33%
Biden is bad in this subject. Trump would be massively worse not only here but virtually everywhere else too
JimmyMcGill 1mo ago • 100%
Fuck in a way I also feel bad for the defense layers. Like I’m pretty sure none of the want to defend these rapist pieces of shit, but in a way they have to in order for the system to function properly. Imagine having to defend rapists and falsely accused “rapists” in the same way, with the same effort and determination. I’m sure I couldn’t do it
How are everyone’s stories coming along? Have you finished the game? If so how many times? What tips, remarks or other things of note do you have that you want to discuss here? As always try to keep things as spoiler free as possible. Also should I do these posts more regularly (shows up on people’s feeds more and so has more traction) or like this is fine. Definitely don’t want to spam people. Lucky rolls to you all!
The previous post was starting to lose steam so here is another one. Please note that these will be pinned at the top of the community, so do remember to check back to these threads. The more people contribute, the more other people will check it out and continue the discourse. As always, please be careful of spoilers. Use warnings and tags when needed. Feel free to share anything you want, or ask any questions :D Lucky rolls to you all.
I figured we should have a post for random thoughts, questions and other comments that people might want to do without having to create a new post just for that. Do people agree this idea? We can have these up (possibly pinned) for a while. Maybe a few days, at most a week. Please keep discussion spoiler free, unless you are using the appropriate tags. Cheers!!