Trump Takes Lead in 538 Simulations
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    credo
    3d ago 22%

    I’ve seen the reports. I highly doubt any of the arm chair statisticians (who have never taken a day of mathematical or proof-level stats) have a clue what they are talking about. The polls’ histories and lean are factored into 538’s averages. They are not new to this.

    And how many polls are left leaning? The graph posted a couple of days ago on midwest claims 35% are right leaning, and a correlation with the drop in support for Harris. What it doesn’t say is the proportion of democratic polls, and there really isn’t a correlation over the length of history shown.

    Hard to make informed decisions when half the information is hidden. (But arm chair statisticians don’t recognize the issue do they?)

    -5
  • Trump Takes Lead in 538 Simulations
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearCR
    credo
    3d ago 38%

    Lol at people downvoting what they don’t want to hear.

    Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: High

    On a positive note, Harris is still leading 4/7 swing states in the WaPo averages: https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/presidential-polling-averages/

    -6
  • projects.fivethirtyeight.com

    For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Trump has taken the lead (if a very small one) over Harris. As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Oct. 18, our model gives Trump a 52-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College votes. The model gives Harris a 48-in-100 chance.

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    North Korean troops have arrived in Russia to fight Ukraine, says Seoul
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    credo
    3d ago 44%

    were issued with fake ID cards of residents of the Yakutia and Buryatia, two regions in Siberia

    Yes, absolutely Serbian. You can tell because of the way they are.

    -2
  • China’s strategic complicity: Beijing is the 'hidden engine' behind Russia’s war effort in Ukraine, report says
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    credo
    3d ago 100%

    • Despite sanctions, Russia adapts by engaging with strategic partners like China to circumvent restrictions.

    • China has replaced Western nations as a major supplier of goods to Russia, with trade between the two reaching $240 billion in 2023. In 2021, the total trade between the two countries was approximately $147 billion.

    • Specific exports from China to Russia include CNC machines, semiconductors, microelectronics, ball bearings, nitrocellulose, drones, and construction equipment.

    • The Sino-Russian relationship has deepened, with both nations criticizing the U.S. and increasing their cooperation.

    Bottom line: China don’t care. But we knew this already.

    25
  • Iranian cyber actors access critical infrastructure networks.
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearCR
    credo
    3d ago 100%

    Iranian cyber actors’ use of brute force and other techniques to compromise organizations across multiple critical infrastructure sectors, including the healthcare and public health (HPH), government, information technology, engineering, and energy sectors.

    It seems they’ve abstracted the term “critical infrastructure” to refer to the organizations that perform critical functions within society, not necessarily the networks running nuclear power plants.

    But also, commercial entities don’t exactly have access to NSA encryptors.. so your alternative is to disconnect everything. And that’s not feasible.

    4
  • Physicists Reveal a Quantum Geometry That Exists Outside of Space and Time | Quanta Magazine
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    credo
    7d ago 100%

    Summary: In 2022, Carolina Figueiredo discovered collisions involving three different subatomic particles produced identical outcomes, suggesting a hidden connection between seemingly unrelated particle theories. This finding supports the idea that space-time and quantum mechanics are approximations of deeper, abstract principles. Her advisor, Nima Arkani-Hamed, had previously discovered a geometric object called the “amplituhedron,” but Figueiredo’s discovery points to a new method, “surfaceology,” which simplifies particle interactions without relying on traditional Feynman diagrams.

    The traditional way of understanding particle collisions uses Feynman diagrams to track all possible particle paths, which is mathematically intensive. Surfaceology offers a more efficient and direct way to arrive at the same predictions without needing to track these countless possibilities, allowing physicists to see the results of collisions more clearly and directly.

    Surfaceology may eventually bypass the need for space-time as a fundamental concept in physics. This hints at a potential new understanding of quantum gravity and the origins of the universe, and echoes past revolutionary changes in physics.

    5
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    Jump
    Things went super well for sovcit.
  • "Initials" by "Florian Körner", licensed under "CC0 1.0". / Remix of the original. - Created with dicebear.comInitialsFlorian Körnerhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearCR
    credo
    7d ago 100%

    SovCit requests support from US institutions after mistaken belief that labeling oneself as a SovCit is a get out of payment free card.

    “Forcefield!”

    45
  • It’s kinda how you read the name, innit?

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